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本帖最后由 苏海 于 2016-11-13 11:06 编辑
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CBCNEWS 新闻摘要翻译
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2 U$ i8 T" Q( O$ Q' q$ Y" E8 E如果你对美国大选的结果感到震惊的话,你自己最好打起精神,准备迎接即将席卷欧洲的又一波变化浪潮。
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2 R+ {# `. _8 C5 {* W: x' x/ D由于一些异乎寻常的经济和政治状况,下一年将是一个特别密集的投票选举年头,接踵而来的可能会有惨重的政治伤亡。数百万人正在向投票站走去,很多人情绪不好,焦虑不安。
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一系列的大选和全民公决是一个门洞大开奔腾涌出的发泄对过去几年满腹不满的机会: 非法移民危机,经济危机,公司企业救助危机,相关的一系列危机,再加上一个摇摇欲坠的欧盟。, y7 g5 z( n4 c1 n O! {
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正如美国十一月八日的大选,还有六月二十三日英国的脱欧,一系列的大选和投票还是一次重创现有体制的机会。0 e, H U$ T) u I% h
" M+ X9 \( P' }1 C; g: F处在危险中的是欧洲国家的一些主要领导人,他们忽然间成 了一群会行走的死尸的一员。& l8 b$ @8 |) s. }
3 K5 k3 o, D) ~, b: k& T3 e7 x0 a7 E实际上,在川普胜选之前,欧洲的政治大厦已经注定要修旧翻新,变化之风已经在扫荡法国,德国,奥地利,意大利,以及其他国家。
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德国总理默克尔的声誉和她的党已经受到打击,因为默克尔决定敞开国门放进百万叙利亚人,造成了巨大的移民危机。# V0 O0 v6 P/ o5 m
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川普和其他一些欧洲保守派领导人正在借助人民的广泛不满而蠢蠢欲动,更多令人震惊的头条新闻将会出现在报纸的头版!
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苏海翻译. a v) C4 ~1 E) v
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苏海评论:哈哈,春风又绿欧洲岸!3 _0 I( a" g2 }1 C
1 s6 y) y7 W3 N* @) M! _9 J( |Taking aim at the establishment: Why some of Europe's top leaders are walking dead+ }+ q7 {& \9 x# @" |5 w& x
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Millions of voters have a chance soon to clobber the establishment as Trump supporters did
" B! J4 H1 T7 m2 h3 E' }By Nahlah Ayed, CBC News Posted: Nov 13, 2016 5:00 AM ET Last Updated: Nov 13, 2016 6:43 AM ET 0 Z6 S/ y0 ]* z8 R6 [; v
! B" Y. d* X0 t }! U. wIf you were surprised by the outcome of the U.S. presidential election, you might want to brace yourself for the cartwheels of change about to roll across Europe.
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Because of an unusual set of circumstances, ahead is an especially vote-heavy year with potentially heavy political casualties. Millions of people are heading to the polls, and many are in an agitated mood.: {$ k" g! }" G, R
The lineup of elections and referendums is a wide-open opportunity for mass venting about the many frustrations of the past years: the migration crisis, the economic crisis, the bailouts, and fallout, in a flailing European Union.
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/ K* U; B6 B8 n/ aLike Nov. 8 in the U.S. — and June 23 with Brexit — the succession of polls is also a chance to clobber the establishment.) T( T, N% e5 E8 W
) K1 z# j* ]# }Naturally, Europe's anti-establishment protest parties stand to reap the benefits of the discontent.
- f# c& N1 B: O/ E% W# L! NAt risk are some of Europe's top leaders, now suddenly among the political walking dead.. P. ~4 }5 W7 b u
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By this time next year, the world's most powerful gatherings could look very different. Donald Trump aside, rarely before has the prospect for change in the international arena been so sweeping.8 K9 L$ ~: I; O# \0 x/ i2 q
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Even before Trump's triumph, Europe's political house looked set for an overhaul. The winds of change were already blowing in France, Germany, Austria, Italy and elsewhere.( L* S" k" F7 e+ ]( h) P- m" R
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Gales in opposition sails [; \- ?2 m2 |/ V/ m
But Trump's winning bluster is now putting gales in the sails of Europe's populists and nationalists riding the anti-establishment mood.
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, Z6 ^( c. m# s" ?' L0 W5 _"The French reaction was: absolutely, this is a huge boost to [populist National Front leader] Marine Le Pen," says Xenia Wickett, the head of the U.S. and Americas program at Chatham House, an international affairs think-tank.1 A- Y: S" v R5 I
) g8 ]& |4 p: |% W1 t; ]9 S"The prospect of a Le Pen government in Paris is very, very real."" r5 e5 V8 E$ [8 B1 \) X5 z
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Le Pen's is an anti-immigrant, anti-establishment party. She was one of the first nationalist leaders to congratulate Trump, while her father Jean-Marie Le Pen, founder of the party, tweeted, "Today, the United States. Tomorrow, France. Bravo!"' g6 ^9 C. f& ~) K0 c( Y" F8 G
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Once on the fringes of France's political landscape, Le Pen could be one of two candidates in the final run-off for president — and in light of Trump's victory, France's elite are now openly musing about the possibility she could actually win next spring, unseating Francois Hollande.
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But the votes that will initially set the tone for Europe's coming year are happening far sooner, and on a single day.
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On Dec. 4, Italy and Austria go to the polls Neither would normally be on Europe's agenda this late in the year — putting them squarely, and perhaps ominously, in the American election's wake.1 F: m# ^' v0 X, C0 @' Q& Y: C
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Austria's contest is a rerun of an earlier, close presidential vote, and it's expected that Norbert Hofer of the Freedom Party will prevail. That would make him the first elected far-right leader in Western Europe since 1945.
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6 {- q+ G( E( k# D4 z( n/ VReferendum in Italy
1 e5 M! t. o/ E5 Q& wItaly's vote is a referendum initially scheduled for the fall. On the table is a package of constitutional reforms that Prime Minister Matteo Renzi has proposed to streamline lawmaking.+ ~# R" z6 Z% C* }5 s" \0 p
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But because of growing anger over the migration crisis — Italy has become the top destination for asylum seekers — as well as over corruption and dangerously high unemployment, the vote is being seen as a plebiscite on Renzi's performance. So far it looks like he might lose — and that might bring down his government.; ^& X2 a9 S3 U' D! Z9 h; @8 I
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Waiting in the wings is the Five Star Movement, a protest party that wants curbs on migration and a referendum on dumping the euro.6 o' d* U0 k& y7 Z4 F3 l; p8 a
' @3 ^; @* r+ l- Y7 b2 Z2 N5 N) _Also at risk are several other leaders and governments, some of whom have been around for the better part of a decade.
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German Chancellor Angela Merkel's popularity and her party have been hurt by the migration crisis and her decision to allow hundreds of thousands of mostly Syrians to enter the country last year.# t4 U0 B* K2 ~, G4 n
'Our country. Our culture': German far right
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! F6 l) D J; `+ q0 l9 Q. K. iHer Christian Democratic Union saw support plummet in local elections this year. The beneficiary was again an anti-immigrant party on the rise. The right-wing Alternative for Germany is expected to do well in next year's national election, too.
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+ m' K& R( I0 s" V. \) G* ATrump's 'patriotic spring'5 r" }9 f: ^ K
In the Netherlands, Geert Wilders' anti-Islam and anti-immigrant Freedom Party stands to build on the back of the disillusionment. He may not form the next government after the March vote, but his party's influence is expected to grow.
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) s. _/ \0 x6 S9 ]6 o7 w X* M$ YHe calls Trump's victory the latest episode of a "patriotic spring."
: q, s% r7 s# k+ u5 UWhile many of these parties are inspired by Trump's win, it was actually a protest party on this side of the Atlantic that formed the best and perhaps worst model for harnessing the growing malcontent in the West.
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The United Kingdom Independence Party, under Nigel Farage, had very little chance of forming a government. But it managed to help force a referendum and motivate the disillusioned to bring Britain to vote to leave the EU — and change the face of Europe.
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"I'm the catalyst for the downfall of the Blairites, the Clintonites, the Bushites, and all these dreadful people who work hand in glove with Goldman Sachs and everybody else, have made themselves rich, and ruined our countries," he said last week.- o; M* I( w# g$ Q3 U* ]9 V
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It is certainly language that is resonating across this continent and across the pond./ K O1 D& s7 a/ f9 s! g [ d% H3 b
Farage, Trump, and others are tapping into a rich vein of discontent that will yet produce many more surprising headlines.
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