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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market
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OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight5 q+ C6 n( x. ^3 @+ q
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly" W9 _# R1 J% u8 l' ^0 T. W% x$ E
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal# T/ T% }/ h5 N: h) v
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate." i/ i- ~* I! f/ x( F' X
7 Q" k' b7 E6 @1 W/ eThe global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with1 [5 J8 w$ @3 x: A" g6 L+ ^
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
) h* z$ q) |% q- c9 NUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness5 l) M! t& x& t
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
, T4 p" l2 m* S. ]# H* i, j) dIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
$ }2 A8 G# r/ `4 e. Mstimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the- k) y% D$ Y c- W- q2 A2 F: O
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
; u& h; t' n. R/ I( g/ uin higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
* z5 g: ~# t. A# O0 i) Ximportant downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the& Z& G6 e! N. F, E- X
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
# {+ B4 W$ H0 R- d) h3 T" ~$ C7 j' Wprices and some tightening of financial conditions.1 t% K" Y; O8 m/ E7 ]
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
' v; t0 Q. E ^' c4 p" M) } Win the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
0 Z% O% y% V% O# wGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
2 [; V) E3 ]- I: d& bincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
" m7 U M3 k5 t5 v( O" S! Sbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects- t1 D" x+ l: T' H3 G
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
: C& x& g" A/ N1 V+ @supply.7 b1 _# W" S# M. @& L
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In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and. P% d% @7 y$ A! q
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
3 j* s. A- ^9 p& i( A4 z/ Amonetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
3 ]9 B" S9 E1 J. F* k/ L$ zsignificant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.3 j( j3 q" E: X* q9 I
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Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
) t3 x+ Q, [2 N# cstimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
S# D) ~, k( G- u$ hdevelopments.' z. Z% P' d* Q: Q% g
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Information note:; E! m8 k# ?6 [7 @% \; R
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
. N4 |. j9 u! lof the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
4 I: D6 b, f# W* o! ?3 _published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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