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Bank of Canada increases overnight rate target to 1/2 per cent and re-establishes normal functioning of the overnight market: C6 s7 _; s+ |5 T" N6 M
# ^+ z' t8 Q! t0 Q% R+ TOTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight. T I# {8 @2 L1 C. J
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
7 J K* R9 Y7 t4 a9 L4 uraised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
" K( R8 W: g( q- ~) hoperating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
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The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
' V9 a b0 n) kstrong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
# ~- j* Q1 p% _ y5 H. J' b0 OUnited States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
6 m- w/ R+ O8 f, ~5 t$ ]in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
2 D, {8 s( z9 ^( w/ p( E3 mIn most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal) \9 v7 u# ~2 |1 H: h( c* V: y4 K
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the& J: q5 Q: S) b# T
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result4 F+ |5 V2 `) L6 m: K2 B# [$ m
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an p/ @3 \) }) X5 q6 B
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
0 f0 O6 N! E. W; U) r* dspillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
& n% y" g- n3 i6 i2 Qprices and some tightening of financial conditions.
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Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent1 T' l8 e: O. v( }1 b, }, H6 w
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
) H) t' J. T+ S- ?' aGoing forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
' u/ \! k7 R6 f: Rincome growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
5 y) _; X# p* x7 Mbalanced recovery.
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CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects+ u* w! r0 k) B5 R0 _/ |
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
& ? [+ C5 k0 V/ t$ d ysupply.7 f, w4 |* D( c6 _7 Z
6 f. [/ ]1 ]' j: _( WIn this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
. `+ @" r V: E7 Z4 u: S$ `5 ^/ p, Hto re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
) ?7 P4 G; D- e- S9 }: `monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the 8 @: q) e" a1 ~. F# c7 J
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
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/ p0 y' V3 d) S9 uGiven the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
7 @8 L! u5 Z3 U' astimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic! ?4 w/ S" y2 S& X
developments.
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/ g5 g& w$ f8 S' g- R$ I) k' P; LInformation note:8 a) w4 F7 r8 y8 n* R# K
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
# z7 h4 {( [1 {of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be& L- p A9 Y9 n; ]1 O( I! W$ G
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010. |
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