醉酒一直担心的事情，真的有可能发生

醉酒当歌 · 发表于 2008-10-21 11:48

最近很少来这里发表言论，原因很简单，房市日趋明朗，我担心，alberta的房子，会继续跌到06年大涨价前的水平。听醉酒劝告的朋友们，或者曾经大呼上醉酒当的朋友们，可以安心睡觉了！这种市场，cash is king!

[ 本帖最后由醉酒当歌于 2008-10-21 12:50 编辑 ]

vista · 发表于 2008-10-21 11:54

能不能分析一下什么时候能跌到06 年的价位

CO2 · 发表于 2008-10-21 12:01

什么时候CASH都是King阿!
不过愿闻其详.

carlzheng · 发表于 2008-10-21 13:24

跌到06年的水平的可能性不大,或许有个别房子会的.

我一个朋友05年底买的1300尺的TOWNHOUSE,在TWINBROOKS,当时18万.你觉得会跌到20万以下吗?我觉得不会,至少近两年不会.

小黄 · 发表于 2008-10-21 13:57

原帖由 醉酒当歌 于 2008-10-21 12:48 发表
+ M P! u% q2 L" N" q, E最近很少来这里发表言论，原因很简单，房市日趋明朗，我担心，alberta的房子，会继续跌到06年大涨价前的水平。听醉酒劝告的朋友们，或者曾经大呼上醉酒当的朋友们，可以安心睡觉了！这种市场，cash is king!

我以为这不是醉酒担心的，而是醉酒盼望的。

CO2 · 发表于 2008-10-21 13:57

从均价来看,已经跌破2006年年底的价格.
2005,2006都是价格高速增长的年头..
还是先看2006年的价格能否守住吧.直接回到2005的价格,现在看是没有机会.

三硝基甲苯 · 发表于 2008-10-21 14:26

watch the unemployment rate climbing up in the next yr or so,
soon lotta returned rig workers who wash trucks for 120k a yr will realize money does not come easy in the city as it is from the rigs.the affordability of their half million dollars house is not as easy any more.
that is when the market is going back to where it is supposed to be.
that is also when the economy is going back to where it is supposed to be that a guy with grade 10 education can only find himself work in mcdonald for 8 bucks an hour instead of making 120k a year washing trucks.

每天一点 · 发表于 2008-10-21 14:50

TOWNHOUSE的价格一下子就跌了1.6w

很难说不会跌到2006年大涨前的水平。现在的房子成交价肯定是2006年秋季的水平
Weekly Update on the Edmonton Real Estate Market

Here is our update on the Edmonton real estate market. (Previous week's numbers are in brackets). For the past 7 days:

New listings: 367 (567, 479, 434)
# Sales: 211 (237, 255, 274)
Ratio: 57% (42%, 53%, 63%)
# Price changes: 326 (429, 457, 441)
# Expired Listings: 223 (211, 699, 209)
# Canceled/withdrawn/terminated listings: 38 (36, 68, 49)
Net loss/gain in listings this week: -105 (36, -543, -98)
Active listings for single family homes: 3390 (3433, 3382, 3651)
Active listings for condos: 2251 (2275, 2200, 2428)

Either the market is in a post-turkey-trytophan haze, or the global economic conditions have finally affected our market - listings, sales, prices, and inventory are all down. We did have a long weekend this week, which does tend to slow things down a bit, and seasonally the market slows the closer we get to the end of the year.

Average prices are down - overall average residential selling price is $313k (down from $324 for September), single family home is $357k (down from $362) and condos have taken the biggest hit at $236k (down from $252). As you can see from the chart below, this is not just a case of fewer high end listings selling, as the average price per square foot has dropped.

Sales are also down from the near record highs in September - so far this month there have been 694 sales, which should put us around 1300 sales for the month. This actually isn't out of the norm, if you remember, back in July we predicted October sales would be around 1300. Obviously we were WAY off for September, but July and August went as expected and it looks like October will too.

Posted by Sara MacLennan on October 17, 2008 at 03:03 PM in Weekly Update | Permalink | Comments (31) | TrackBack (0)
Technorati Tags: Edmonton real estate marketing, home prices in

[ 本帖最后由 sunwinc 于 2008-10-21 15:54 编辑 ]

UncleSam · 发表于 2008-10-21 15:08

Just read an ananlysis on latest Business Weekly.

There is one opionion I tend to agree. The recession is mild but long, but it is predicted to only last 16 months. this recession is somewhat like Great Recession in 30s, but the governments have put down unprecedented efforts to rescue the crisis, plus the information technology has helped shorten the inventory cycle.

many economists are betting Dec.2007 is the starting point of this recession, so april 2009 will be the end, even though the road back on track will definitely take longer.

it is unrealistic to expect the housing market here will crash or drop significantly, with people still flocking to this province for jobs and leaving those provinces hit hard by this credit crunch in the states, like Ontario, Quebec and BC...

Don't envy those kids earning 120k a year. most of those jobs are tough and physically demanding, and i know lots of chinese won't take those jobs. At least, i know i won't work on those jobs.

[ 本帖最后由 UncleSam 于 2008-10-21 16:16 编辑 ]

qwlimited · 发表于 2008-10-21 16:41

原帖由 CO2 于 2008-10-21 13:01 发表 7 o8 ^$ F: l0 y7 Y* V, x
什么时候CASH都是King阿!0 z6 ?- a {1 \, f
不过愿闻其详.

又有房子又有CASH = QUEEN + KING

CO2 · 发表于 2008-10-21 17:31

原帖由 三硝基甲苯 于 2008-10-21 15:26 发表
& a$ p$ u" I# K1 P* g: ?watch the unemployment rate climbing up in the next yr or so,
) {. j; d2 p2 `soon lotta returned rig workers who wash trucks for 120k a yr will realize money does not come easy in the city as it is from the rigs.t ...

the unemloyment rate in Canada is always as high as in USA with 6% or so. and American call themselves a recession, while most Albertan call themselves still strong......

maomao119 · 发表于 2008-10-21 17:32

cash is king 是不是中文说的，有钱就是爷啊？。。。

苹果鸭梨 · 发表于 2008-10-21 17:35

啥时候房价能跌到2004年的水平啊？

三硝基甲苯 · 发表于 2008-10-21 17:37

原帖由 UncleSam 于 2008-10-21 16:08 发表 6 c- a) }3 C, {4 e2 ^& m! S6 `
Just read an ananlysis on latest Business Weekly.( Q+ F% _/ Z* i4 V) A

( r% @, W/ `# d4 E" M2 Z! l2 l5 C) PThere is one opionion I tend to agree. The recession is mild but long, but it is predicted to only last 16 months. this recession is somewhat like ...

in the 30s that is called great Depression, not recession.There is a huge difference between two terms.

if u think 6.0% unemployment is as "high", or "normal" or "sustainable"
kiddo, u ain't see nothing yet.

苹果鸭梨 · 发表于 2008-10-21 18:15

如经济不行了，是不是大家都要去种庄稼去啊
该买地了

circle · 发表于 2008-10-22 07:19

原帖由 苹果鸭梨 于 2008-10-21 18:35 发表 3 @; ]/ t" p) v, p* `8 E8 w
啥时候房价能跌到2004年的水平啊？

按现在的经济趋势，这种情况完全有可能。

qwlimited · 发表于 2008-10-22 07:28

原帖由小黄于 2008-10-21 14:57 发表 2 S8 J9 d9 |' O+ `( A

* g2 b5 Q2 {, m y& n' I我以为这不是醉酒担心的，而是醉酒盼望的。

Agree, 没有房子，你担心什么。
不过，有房子也不用担心，利率又降了，还款能力更强了。我的贷款利率从一年前的5.45%降到现在的3.2%

小黄 · 发表于 2008-10-22 07:32

原帖由 CO2 于 2008-10-21 13:01 发表 * r2 h# P9 [% l% J
什么时候CASH都是King阿!
3 a5 E( y8 M. S# _9 t9 T l不过愿闻其详.

不对吧。价格下跌时，自然 Cash is king。但以2000到2007之间的上升市，Cash is trash。

醉酒当歌 · 发表于 2008-10-22 20:53

请看涨派领军人物紫光给大家从理论到实践分析，为什么房价一直必须而且只能上涨的道理！

老农民 · 发表于 2008-10-22 21:12

原帖由 醉酒当歌 于 2008-10-22 21:53 发表
( j* H/ e1 R2 @' e0 R& J请看涨派领军人物紫光给大家从理论到实践分析，为什么房价一直必须而且只能上涨的道理！

连美国财长都跪下了，你说还哪有他站的地方啊

[ 本帖最后由老农民于 2008-10-22 22:47 编辑 ]

YOKO · 发表于 2008-10-22 23:20

原帖由 qwlimited 于 2008-10-21 17:41 发表 / s4 d4 W% Z: {! ^7 o
& m7 S" Y7 T8 P7 ?
又有房子又有CASH = QUEEN + KING

冬子 · 发表于 2008-10-23 07:57

看看加币升跌曲线如加币兑中国币就知回到潮起时很正常喔:
2007年5月起加币兑中币:(2007.05)1:7.0--(2007.10)1:8.0--1:6.5(2008.7)-----1:5.5(2008.10),

水管工 · 发表于 2008-10-23 09:13

原帖由 UncleSam 于 2008-10-21 16:08 发表
5 ~0 W- o. V; \Just read an ananlysis on latest Business Weekly.
7 n! L0 I' J" T; U0 A
8 p9 x$ h: ^/ t$ ]9 K) fThere is one opionion I tend to agree. The recession is mild but long, but it is predicted to only last 16 months. this recession is somewhat like ...

经济不好了，就不会有那么多新工作了。

水管工 · 发表于 2008-10-23 09:14

原帖由 sunwinc 于 2008-10-21 15:50 发表 ; P! e! N7 L- G+ G8 X _/ ]
TOWNHOUSE的价格一下子就跌了1.6w
( I; K# @; ]' a0 q
! }& m2 ? |4 U; A* c很难说不会跌到2006年大涨前的水平。现在的房子成交价肯定是2006年秋季的水平/ h3 D- ]& I* l5 Z- y
Weekly Update on the Edmonton Real Estate Market
9 ~6 r9 [! E, \# |1 x' E
8 m. Y! `) Q) ~; t" o! g9 oHere is our update on the Edmonton real ...

Good information.

自由的像风 · 发表于 2008-10-23 19:36

原帖由 qwlimited 于 2008-10-21 17:41 发表

`8 A# E: O2 n3 z! B又有房子又有CASH = QUEEN + KING

没有房子＋没有钱＝无法无天

RowlandSpring · 发表于 2008-10-23 21:20

大家抓紧时间赚钱，等到降到醉酒说的价钱买HOUSE。

yingxiy · 发表于 2008-10-25 13:21

CO2 · 发表于 2008-10-25 16:42

原帖由小黄于 2008-10-22 08:32 发表 6 k/ D+ n) H8 l, v
$ C2 d( Z! ]8 `0 S) {
不对吧。价格下跌时，自然 Cash is king。但以2000到2007之间的上升市，Cash is trash。

2000-2007 房子是KING？
不买不卖，房价升值再多也和今天贬值多少一样，除了让房东多交了地税没有任何好处。
任何时候,增值没有变现,都是TRASH。

[ 本帖最后由 CO2 于 2008-10-25 18:40 编辑 ]

西红柿酸 · 发表于 2008-10-25 17:23

醉酒当歌 · 发表于 2008-10-26 01:16

房子涨价的理由，请找紫光大师。几个月前他还在奋力号召大家买房。

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醉酒一直担心的事情，真的有可能发生

能不能分析一下什么时候能跌到06 年的价位？