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我对2月份房地产走势的看法

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鲜花(1394) 鸡蛋(16)
发表于 2008-1-24 20:21 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式

首先,这个帖子卖“10加币”。埃德蒙顿中文网的10加币是个什么概念呢?这么说吧,如果你在这里发一个帖子,一个普通的帖子,那么你就能得到1个积分和1个龙币。在页面的右上角有一个控制面板,控制面板里面有“积分交易”,进入积分交易以后你能看到转换的方框。一个积分(也叫威望)可以换100个加币,一个龙币(也叫财富)可以换200个加币。也就是说,你发了一个帖子,就可以买30个现在这样的帖子。所以说,我这个帖子还是很便宜的。

下面书归正传,我说说我对二月份房地产市场的看法。
购买主题 已有 97 人购买  本主题需向作者支付 10 加币现金 才能浏览
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2008-1-24 20:24 | 显示全部楼层
That is what I am thinking.
鲜花(4348) 鸡蛋(18)
发表于 2008-1-24 20:38 | 显示全部楼层
5 l% R* U; k# D# C4 R$ j
但不绝对,央行可能再次降息,如果索定三年利率低于5%,买房子的人会更多。
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2008-1-24 20:49 | 显示全部楼层

回复 楼主 的帖子

老杨团队 追求完美
有趣的网页 from Calgary:

0 p& q+ J5 y2 r9 ]1 p( e' o$ U
The following data are copied from there.

) T: A; ]) u" @5 O  s+ Y4 ?# n+ e8 s6 }. |; j
Edmonton Condo& R: _- U  f2 R- {
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
( u7 m% u. B# fIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
' F$ u) t; T1 S) b
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board
If you have any questions, call Bob Truman, 403-650-2514, or email bobtruman@shaw.ca
Moving to Calgary? Check out the latest numbers at Calgary Stats
Date         
Inventory
New Listings Added
Sales
Avg Price, Y; [% N6 U8 s4 z
Median Price
SP/SF" @; p/ [) q8 F0 ^4 f- w& w
DOM
Sales/New5 T$ v. P  k- o% T: T
Listing Ratio  
Jan 1-23
2225
838
247
256,697
250,000
254
59
29%
Dec 2007
2152
466
272
251,456
244,000
256
54
58%
Nov 2007
2618
806
428
239,650
232,944
266
49
53%
Oct 2007
3039
1257
395
254,436
245,000
265
42
32%
Sep 2007
3174
1203
374
251,743
249,950
293
38
31%
Aug 2007
2993
1282
458
261,982
255,000
284
36
36%
Jul 2007
NA
1615
479
275,905
269,000
285
29
30%
Jun 2007
NA
1565
743
264,657
259,000
296
22
47%
May 2007
NA
1740
896
266,293
264,950
297
19
51%
Apr 2007
NA
1059
937
261,026
256,000
271
18
88%
Jan 2007
NA
674
522
235,203
230,000
241
25
77%
Dec 2006
NA
372
376
229,297
220,000
226
24
101%
The statistics on this page are based on information from the Edmonton Real Estate Board, and while believed to be accurate EREB assumes no responsibility for them. For the officially published EREB statistical figures, click on EREB.com
SP/SF = Sales price per sq ft
6 E" P1 R  [" r& ^DOM = Days on Market
/ P7 S" p  ~! K4 g$ f& H

+ M* Q; `% w5 ]
: h0 ]# B8 F0 q; X6 ^
Edmonton Single Family HomeMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
4 w& S) [% t5 R) LIncludes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
+ {% M4 p2 _1 p3 W7 a
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board
If you have any questions, call Bob Truman, First Place Realty 403-650-2514 or Email bobtruman@shaw.ca
Moving to Calgary? Check out the latest numbers at Calgary Stats
Date     
Inventory
New Listings Added
Sales
Avg Price
7 d) h* f6 r" z* {
Median Price
SP/SF
DOM
Sales/New: A4 n1 k; }7 C. L1 o0 W! u1 I6 t
Listing Ratio  
Jan 1-23
3459
1357
509
387,194
365,000
275
61
38%
Dec 2007
3536
681
475
391,298
368,000
277
54
70%
Nov 2007
4457
1400
672
391,116
361,750
281
49
48%
Oct 2007
4851
1967
719
417,356
388,000
295
42
37%
Sep 2007
5030
2214
515
426,984
390,000
303
41
23%
Aug 2007
4656
2108
635
429,889
395,000
314
36
30%
Jul 2007
NA
2328
717
442,752
410,000
320
28
31%
Jun 2007
NA
2661
1011
442,817
409,000
328
22
38%
May 2007
NA
2312
1258
451,596
414,450
314
19
54%
Apr 2007
NA
1655
1230
438,154
409,900
306
19
74%
Jan 2007
NA
1088
835
368,738
352,500
258
30
77%
Dec 2006
NA
487
559
363,266
339,000
256
32
115%
The statistics on this page are based on information from the Edmonton Real Estate Board, and while believed to be accurate EREB assumes no responsibility for them. For the officially published EREB statistical figures, click on EREB.com
SP/SF = Sales price per sq ft! L. B; h& }1 a! T9 @" r$ O
DOM = Days on Market
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2008-1-24 21:13 | 显示全部楼层
楼上的拷贝看不见
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2008-1-24 21:45 | 显示全部楼层
不知这次行不

( ?: t; H, g3 G4 N4 ]
有趣的网页 from Calgary:
$ h" w/ s) G$ P* ]6 m" a
The following data are copied from there.

4 L7 X  |" A$ r  z$ O8 u+ b
5 [4 \) c2 t: u7 V* H- O' J
Edmonton Condo
) k# u4 V) B" j0 c/ [% q; {+ Z' p7 G. ^
MLS Statistics(Unofficial) / p: Y/ ~8 B8 O7 V6 {
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain6 V- S8 p5 U; m- l( y
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board
If you have any questions, call Bob Truman, 403-650-2514, or email bobtruman@shaw.ca
Moving to Calgary? Check out the latest numbers at Calgary Stats
Date         
Inventory
New Listings Added
Sales
Avg Price& f9 D  m9 g' q( M2 ?$ ^
Median Price
SP/SF: R9 a# o! N& b) M; ]1 f: }
DOM
Sales/New
4 h8 F4 B7 z& O0 t  ^6 z/ ^. |
Listing Ratio  
Jan 1-23
2225
838
247
256,697
250,000
254
59
29%
Dec 2007
2152
466
272
251,456
244,000
256
54
58%
Nov 2007
2618
806
428
239,650
232,944
266
49
53%
Oct 2007
3039
1257
395
254,436
245,000
265
42
32%
Sep 2007
3174
1203
374
251,743
249,950
293
38
31%
Aug 2007
2993
1282
458
261,982
255,000
284
36
36%
Jul 2007
NA
1615
479
275,905
269,000
285
29
30%
Jun 2007
NA
1565
743
264,657
259,000
296
22
47%
May 2007
NA
1740
896
266,293
264,950
297
19
51%
Apr 2007
NA
1059
937
261,026
256,000
271
18
88%
Jan 2007
NA
674
522
235,203
230,000
241
25
77%
Dec 2006
NA
372
376
229,297
220,000
226
24
101%
The statistics on this page are based on information from the Edmonton Real Estate Board, and while believed to be accurate EREB assumes no responsibility for them. For the officially published EREB statistical figures, click on EREB.com
SP/SF = Sales price per sq ft
' P, [7 H! ~1 u6 K0 HDOM = Days on Market

  v4 {" @+ `9 J, M4 [( y- t$ {8 c9 C) }' l5 r( Y- w) z, t

+ Z% ^7 L7 V1 k  ^8 b  k
Edmonton Single Family HomeMLS Statistics(Unofficial)
, P# X! m/ ?5 k/ m! c4 \Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
3 F& }6 K5 U2 x; e" \( r8 x* O
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board
If you have any questions, call Bob Truman, First Place Realty 403-650-2514 or Email bobtruman@shaw.ca
Moving to Calgary? Check out the latest numbers at Calgary Stats
Date     
Inventory
New Listings Added
Sales
Avg Price
( X' d/ \1 t! ]! y  [
Median Price
SP/SF
DOM
Sales/New
3 r  T' o/ |6 o8 V( ~. L# m
Listing Ratio  
Jan 1-23
3459
1357
509
387,194
365,000
275
61
38%
Dec 2007
3536
681
475
391,298
368,000
277
54
70%
Nov 2007
4457
1400
672
391,116
361,750
281
49
48%
Oct 2007
4851
1967
719
417,356
388,000
295
42
37%
Sep 2007
5030
2214
515
426,984
390,000
303
41
23%
Aug 2007
4656
2108
635
429,889
395,000
314
36
30%
Jul 2007
NA
2328
717
442,752
410,000
320
28
31%
Jun 2007
NA
2661
1011
442,817
409,000
328
22
38%
May 2007
NA
2312
1258
451,596
414,450
314
19
54%
Apr 2007
NA
1655
1230
438,154
409,900
306
19
74%
Jan 2007
NA
1088
835
368,738
352,500
258
30
77%
Dec 2006
NA
487
559
363,266
339,000
256
32
115%
The statistics on this page are based on information from the Edmonton Real Estate Board, and while believed to be accurate EREB assumes no responsibility for them. For the officially published EREB statistical figures, click on EREB.com
SP/SF = Sales price per sq ft( g/ j* q" w  ^0 e
DOM = Days on Market
鲜花(645) 鸡蛋(4)
发表于 2008-1-24 23:09 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
拜托, 楼上的请确定能拷时再来整吧 ~
理袁律师事务所
鲜花(645) 鸡蛋(4)
发表于 2008-1-24 23:10 | 显示全部楼层
老杨净整需的~
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2008-1-25 08:00 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
为何Firefox不行老杨?* \: B( {0 w/ [, h
用IE可以看见..
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2008-1-25 08:05 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
数据来源5 I  L% ~8 j" T) D# E( d; K8 K
http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html
8 F$ E1 Q7 K+ e' C  P& V6 ]% z# y4 R1 g6 B) M' _1 j( @
http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_Condo_stats/page_1918040.html
Z
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2008-1-25 11:21 | 显示全部楼层
独立屋方面:/ g; D" S( }8 b) M' y
1月截至23日,共售出509,average为$387194, median为$365000,新售出/新挂=38%4 ]! H* i2 z& S9 P' H
12月份共售出475,average为$391298, median为$368000,新售出/新挂=70%( ]! ^8 r5 p* r, K

( z" N" P+ ^+ Q0 n价格微降,新售出量再一次被新挂牌量所淹没。2 @/ l' F7 i% J0 o1 P) W
来源 http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html
; a0 w5 f: G: c
1 Q2 D; G) t2 S$ e不好意思,没看到已经有人列了...
1 Z. ~2 O. J! d9 W- I' U
7 S8 p$ C% B+ I[ 本帖最后由 Z 于 2008-1-25 11:23 编辑 ]
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2008-1-30 07:21 | 显示全部楼层
不怎么样啊.
鲜花(1) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2008-1-30 12:08 | 显示全部楼层
同言同羽 置业良晨
我已看过一回,¥10白付了!
老柳教车
鲜花(14) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2008-1-30 12:10 | 显示全部楼层
老杨团队,追求完美;客户至上,服务到位!
先买后看,老杨这是在搞活网站经济呢
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2008-1-30 13:32 | 显示全部楼层
目前已经接近1月份的月末。据说一月份看房的人开始活跃起来了,但还是有很多想买房的人没有下决心买,因为不清楚后面的走势。1月份的数据很重要,现在很多人等着看这份数据。如果一月份比去年12月份上涨,成交量放大,那么二月份就会立即上涨,很多买家就会立即出手。但如果一月份下跌了,哪怕是一点点的下跌,很多人就会再等等,因为二月份还是有可能下跌。! r/ C: R' e- [
3 k) U' Y" x- t! U' ?/ S
现在大批人在观望,都在等着看一月份的数据。一月份的报告非常重要,它将影响二月份房产市场。
* k- f; J- ^' r2 K补充一点:据说一月份成交的房子里面30万以下的占了很大的比例,我估计这会导致平均房价下滑,最终的结果是一月份平均价格低于12月份。8 Y9 P" Y" H  M0 E& u

9 ~! N% \' v0 J0 }" `# |[ 本帖最后由 eager321 于 2008-1-30 13:34 编辑 ]
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2008-1-30 15:50 | 显示全部楼层
http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html
4 Z+ W# I5 L$ A2 l0 B2 ^; G, f; }2 f$ X( D$ t7 R

$ ~) j7 l0 b1 Q( v' _http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_Condo_stats/page_1918040.html
鲜花(6) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2008-1-30 21:21 | 显示全部楼层
同言同羽 置业良晨
最终的结果是一月份平均价格低于12月份。
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2008-1-31 16:06 | 显示全部楼层

No Money!

No Money, No Kankan....
鲜花(0) 鸡蛋(0)
发表于 2008-2-27 18:35 | 显示全部楼层
看不了
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